I doubt that anyone could do a defensible quantitative analysis of this case, Kidding, I asked, "Chuck, what's the number I'm looking for?" In the last 6 weeks, stranger's credit cards and a cheque have unexpectedly been posted to my apartment and also, found in the public streets. we did not observe; identifying these "generic" similar coincidences raises the issue of To help you recall the coincidences that have happened in your life, here’s a list of some common types of coincidence: If anything coincidental has happened to you - anything that made you stop and say "well, what were the chances of that..?" While being a maths graduate student I was enrolled (as a participant) in a phase-3 clinical trial in 2006. Our first child was born September 16, 1974. as this humorous tale I tell in talks demonstrates. because there were effectively 17.5 judges (some part-time). some arithmetic shows that there would be around 1 million groups-of-3-cases with the same feature, and the chance that some group There were over 10,000 cases in the period of interest. Meeting someone you know in an unexpected place on a trip away from your home district -- not somewhere where either of you would usually be found. very-unlikely-but-possible coincidences that might happen but don't, see where there is a group of 3 cases which are Title: two or three words that give a simple description of your story, eg ‘old friend’ or ‘birthday coincidence’ In 2009 I was in charge of the data analysis of my first trial; a phase-2 clinical trial in a completely different field of medicine. All of the information entered below except your email address will be published on this website when you press save. Chances are he would guess one of the three local exchanges - 372, 373 or 375 - and he blurted out 7 digits as he rushed by. specific coincidence, but there will be some 1945,1949 and 1952. I was assigned a room in a shared flat. Collections & Series Cambridge University Press publishes a wide range of high-quality and innovative digital collections, offering an invaluable resource for researchers around the globe. I kindly returned it :)
The only thing we'd ask you to steer clear of are premonitions or déjà vu, purely because - whilst fascinating - they're quite common and also difficult to analyse. Why?
But what does this imply? An everyday type of coincidence reported often in the Cambridge Coincidences Collection is about \(1/17.5 \times 1/17.5 \approx 1/300 \) What is the chance that, in an annual 128-player single elimination tournament, some 2 players By ticking this box you agree that your email address can be forwarded to Wingspan Productions Ltd, who are making a BBC television programme about Chance and would like to feature Professor David Spiegelhalter's coincidence collection. Collection of Historical Coincidence, nephiliman.com (web.archive.org) Unlikely Events and Coincidence, Austin Society to Oppose Pseudoscience; Why coincidences happen, UnderstandingUncertainty.org; The Cambridge Coincidences Collection, University of Cambridge Statslab; The … By recording your coincidence stories here, you can help him build a picture of what kinds of coincidences are out there and which ones seem to ‘get to’ us the most. My son was 19 when his dad died
Certainly I believe this "rationalist" position, but their claims to have "proved" this Coincidence: tell your coincidence story - and please include plenty of relevant detail (places, dates, numbers etc.) Mills argues that it is more complicated than this; the power elite is a holy trinity of coincidences between apparently dissimilar organisation. My dad died at 56 yrs old , I was 33 then. I took my seat and a few moments later another person sat next to me. In an extreme rush, I reached for the phone book to look up a source as Chuck was hurrying by. Cambridge Coincidences Collection We were from Manson, Iowa. if each case had merely one "unusual feature" which appeared in only 1 case in 400, then Here is the breakdown:
Your details will not be forwarded to any other party or used for marketing purposes. Coincidences tend to be ‘surprising matches’ – sometimes they are lucky, sometimes unlucky, sometimes just mind-boggling. I asked to change flats and moved into another one the next day. The professor, who is, by coincidence, a colleague of my future mother-in-law, also runs the Cambridge Coincidences Collection as part of his Understanding Uncertainty project. is. so 3 thousand of which would be randomly assigned to the same judge. Here it is hard to pin down what even the "specific coincidence" is. Some fun emails stimulated by last week’s essay on loss aversion in sports and everyday life pointed me to statistician David Spiegelhalter's Cambridge Coincidence Collection, which contains people’s 4500+ reports of weird coincidences.
is N/300. Imagine looking at all those cases and looking to is extremely difficult, and I will illustrate the issues in the examples below. meet each other in two given consecutive years. and more types of "very similar in an interesting way" than one would imagine. Deadlines are always hairy in the newspaper business. However, most of these similarities are uninteresting, whereas which never has a clear answer. In November 2003 I got on a plane flying from Heathrow to LAX, where I was to catch a separate flight form there to the Pacific island of Samoa. A more relevant Now I have no idea what N is, but Our mother died on September 11, 1995, which has since become a national day of mourning.
None were induced or planned. about Scientific publication synchronicity, about I know when people will die but at the same time i dont its weird, about COLLEGE ROOMMATE HAS THE SAME BIRTHDAY, about Unexpected Money Postal & Found on the street, about Random phone number was the right one, I know when people will die but at the same time i dont its weird, Unexpected Money Postal & Found on the street, Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 2.0 UK: England & Wales License.
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